Warm-up Expected to Cause Elevated Water Levels

Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook

2026 Flood Event 2, Bulletin Number 1 (Issued February 15, 2026, at 6:00 pm; Valid until February 20, 2026, at 12:00 pm)

A warm-up with rain forecast over the next several days is expected to cause runoff and elevated water levels in watershed rivers and streams.

A low-pressure system has entered the region and is forecast to remain throughout the week, bringing with it 20-30 mm of rain and daytime temperatures above freezing. A snow survey conducted by the ÌÇÐÄÖ±²¥ (UTRCA) on February 2 measured an average of approximately 75 mm of snow water equivalent in the snowpack across the watershed.

The UTRCA expects the warmer temperatures and rain, with saturated ground conditions, to cause runoff into local watercourses. Flood waters are expected to spill into low lying floodplain areas that typically flood in the spring. Flows will remain elevated through next week.

The UTRCA will operate its flood control reservoirs at Fanshawe, Wildwood, and Pittock Conservation Areas to reduce downstream flooding. UTRCA officials are monitoring the situation and will report on any changing conditions if necessary.

Municipal staff are asked to monitor potential drainage problem areas where snow and ice may have covered catch basins. Smaller rural watercourses and ditches have been drifted in by snow which can block flows during a runoff event, backing up water onto adjacent land or roadways and causing localized flooding.

The public is reminded to use extreme caution near all local waterways. Stream banks may be slippery and unstable, and the water is very cold and fast-moving. Ice cover will be weakened and unstable. Ice on flood control reservoirs is especially hazardous due to fluctuating water levels.

Stay out of any flooded areas and do not drive through flooded roadways. Caregivers are reminded to keep children and pets away from watercourses. It is not safe to take shelter along riverbanks or in low lying areas that are prone to flooding.

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